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02 March 2026 — Today's Market News — Oil Jumps 7% as Strait of Hormuz Disruption Sparks Risk-Off

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Centrino Capital

March 2, 2026
5 min read
02 March 2026 — Today's Market News — Oil Jumps 7% as Strait of Hormuz Disruption Sparks Risk-Off

Markets in Turmoil: US–Israel Strikes on Iran Spark Oil Surge and Safe-Haven Exodus.

Markets turned risk-off after US–Israel strikes on Iran disrupted Strait of Hormuz flows, sending oil up 7% and reviving inflation fears. The Dow fell more than 500 points while gold gained and energy stocks surged. All eyes now shift to U.S. jobs data for the next catalyst.

Today's Snapshot

  • Dow Jones: 49,499.20 (−521.28 pts, −1.05%)
  • Nasdaq Composite: 22,878.38 (−210.17 pts, −0.92%)
  • Tehran Stock Exchange (TEDPIX): 3,618,000.00 (−466 pts, −0.01%)
  • Gold: $5,277.9/oz (+2.2%)
  • Silver: $93.84 (+2%)

Global Markets

(A) Precious Metals

Gold: $5,277.9/oz (+2.2%) — Safe-haven demand accelerated as investors moved capital into protective assets amid rising US–Israel–Iran tensions.

Silver: $93.84 (+2%) — White metal benefited from heightened Middle East escalation worries.

(B) Energy

Brent Crude: $78.36/bbl (+7%) — Military strikes disrupted Strait of Hormuz shipping, threatening approximately 20% of global oil supply transit. Tanker traffic slowdowns sparked supply tightening concerns.

(C) Foreign Exchange

Dollar Index (DXY): 97.71 (−0.1%) — Month-end portfolio rebalancing and profit-taking pressured the greenback despite firm inflation data supporting higher-for-longer rate expectations.

USD/JPY: ~156.11 (−0.1%) — Dollar weakened slightly, though the pair remained supported by elevated US interest rate differentials versus Japan.

Stock Market

United States

  • Dow Jones: 49,499.20 (−521.28 pts, −1.05%)
  • Nasdaq Composite: 22,878.38 (−210.17 pts, −0.92%)

US equities retreated as escalating Middle East tensions pushed crude higher and rekindled inflation concerns. Broad-based selling emerged in technology and growth sectors.

Energy Sector Winners:

  • Exxon Mobil: +2.67%
  • Chevron: +1.41%
  • ConocoPhillips: +2.49%

Energy producers gained on elevated oil prices stemming from Strait of Hormuz supply disruption risks.

Defense Sector Winners:

  • Lockheed Martin: +2.5%
  • RTX (Raytheon): +2.1%
  • Northrop Grumman: +1.90%

Defense contractors rallied on escalating geopolitical conflict risks and anticipated increased government weapons procurement.

Volatility & Positioning

VIX closed at 19.86, reflecting cautious sentiment. Investors increased hedging positions and adopted defensive stances amid economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.

What Traders Are Watching

  1. U.S. Jobs Data — Critical for Fed policy timing and yield direction.
  2. Oil Supply Risks — Strait of Hormuz stability and potential OPEC+ response.
  3. AI-Led Equity Volatility — Further earnings revisions or downgrades could intensify sector rotation.
The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense.
Paul Tudor Jones

Yesterday's Market News — February 27, 2026

Global equities declined as Nvidia's 5.5% drop pressured AI-linked stocks, with the Nasdaq down 1.18%, the S&P 500 off 0.54%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng falling 1.44%.

Read full recap →
Sources
  1. Wall St notches monthly declines on combined AI, tariff, and geopolitical uncertainty (Reuters)
  2. US dollar heads for first monthly gain since October (Reuters)
  3. Gold climbs as US–Israel strikes on Iran spark safe-haven demand
  4. Reuters — Energy — Oil surges as Iran conflict disrupts Middle Eastern supply flow

Disclaimer

This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial guidance, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Market data and figures are subject to change without notice. Trading leveraged or complex products involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading.

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